Here is my set of positions on Covid-19:
Covid-19 is a real, highly communicable, and dangerous virus; deadly primarily to our beloved fellow citizens over the age of 65 and those bearing specific medical vulnerabilities. Covid is not a hoax. It is a grave societal/pandemic concern. All my analysis and commentary has reinforced this concern from the very start. This danger mandates action on all our parts.
If you are at high risk (Age 65+ and a significant co-morbidity), you should get the vaccine, despite its risks. If you are healthy and younger in age, I cannot make that decision for you but I would err toward longer-term precaution, all things being equal. Just be warned that the vaccine bears its own set of adverse events, while as well – a waning in its efficacy is clearly showing in the data, especially as it regards ‘Omicron’ variants. You will need the booster and beyond, no doubt.
Beware of those who insist that there is no need to research or apply treatments for Covid, ‘because we have a vaccine’ or ‘because we control it through lockdown’. This is a human rights crime, and those who imply such logic should be dismissed from their medical or governmental position once the crisis is endemic. Treatment is the first duty of medicine, and an appeal to ignorance fallacy regarding its supposed absence merely serves to cause harm.1
I advocated for a limited sequestration when knowledge level was low, Covid was escalating very fast, hospitals were overfull, and iCFR was uncertain early on (reported as being ~3 to 4%). I advocate for the wearing of N95 masks (I am not and have never been ‘anti-mask’ – my firm designs labs and clean rooms as part of its service base, I am a pro-mask designer and planner, and am a mask advocate for Covid as well), social distancing, hygiene/cleanliness, modified HVAC and sewage/manure exposures, limited large gatherings and other NPIs as would help limit a peak surge of Covid-19. These actions will have limited effect on its eventual seroprevalence however. Our best course of action short of a safe and effective vaccine, is a level of herd immunity inside the 20% of our population who are connectors (most mobile and transaction-bearing citizens). Beyond this I have not made and do not make forecasts on what Covid will do as a virus. It remains a threat to our public health.
Once knowledge-level grew (CDC agreed with my iCFR estimate of 0.26%, flu being 0.14%) and smarter actions on our part could be outlined, certain parties blocked and obfuscated preventions, treatments and other mitigating opportunities for months, or made similar hasty panic-fueled bad decisions on behalf of our most vulnerable citizens. Up to 100,000 of our citizens died solely because of this jackboot ignorance. Moreover, these parties felt they could exploit misinformation, flawed testing processes, case-rate exaggeration, timeframe of reporting, underlying cause of death logical confusion, media messaging, and social coercion to impart panic and despair around Covid-19 into our at-risk constituency. This to enact political/economic power and quickly-altered 2020 election processes in 40 US States, all to their non-transparent favor. Another 200,000 citizens then died from iatrogenic gain boost, despair, and disruption from this purposed societal over-reaction.
These no-income-risk parties used their new-found political power to harm their at-income-risk political enemies under the guise of virtue, and did so with abandon and glee. Irrational business lockdowns were mandated/promoted without scientific backing, and continued well after studies demonstrated clearly their inefficacy. Small to medium private businesses were decimated, while globalist, oligarch, offshore-asset, socialist businesses were favored. 36 million Americans were left unemployed, and half of American private and small to medium businesses were irrevocably harmed or bankrupted. Up to 500,000 additional citizens will be killed by these actions of malicious intent, causing the death toll from deception/coercion alone to approach 800,000 US citizens when all is said and done. This pales by far, those deaths actually from and with Covid itself.
This constituted a human rights crime of historically unprecedented method and magnitude. The parties harmed in this process should be awarded class action and oppression restitution from the perpetrators including media, universities, their foundations/syndicates and the involved misrepresenting agencies. These actions constituted high crimes of terror and oppression, under U.S. Code § Section 2331, Title 18 and 18 U.S. Code § 35, as well as Johnson vs. Monsanto CGC-16-550128.
The Ethical Skeptic, “My Take on Coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 (2019)”; The Ethical Skeptic, WordPress, 9 Aug 2020; Web, https://theethicalskeptic.com/2020/08/09/my-take-on-covid/
- Robert H. Schmerling, PhD; Harvard Health Blog: First, do no harm; June 22, 2020; https://www.health.harvard.edu/blog/first-do-no-harm-201510138421